maandag 23 januari 2012

Afren: ongelooflijk kansrijk in olie en gas


About Afren
Afren is a leading independent exploration and production company – listed on London’s Main Market and a constituent of the FTSE 250.
Our portfolio now extends to 31 assets in 12 countries, from Nigeria, Ghana, Côte d’Ivoire, Nigeria and São Tomé & Príncipe JDZ, Congo Brazzaville and South Africa, East African opportunities in Ethiopia, Kenya, Madagascar, Seychelles, Tanzania and more recently the Middle East through entry to the Kurdistan region of Iraq.

Our activities span the full-cycle E&P value chain of exploration, appraisal, development through to production, and are focused in  areas that represent globally significant and growing sources of international oil supply and high impact exploration fairways.

Maintaining strong relationships with indigenous companies, National Oil Companies and suppliers are top Afren priorities – as are ambitious Corporate Social Responsibility and ethical policies that ensure significant resources re-enter local economies.
Together, these unique factors have contributed to Afren’s strong positioning in the E&P universe
===========================================================================
Afren confident about 2012 production, but shares are off - UPDATE
By Benjamin Chiou
Mon 23 Jan 2012
AFR - Afren
Latest Prices
Name Price %
Afren 116.00p -6.90%
[Ad: Afren confident about 2012 pr...] LONDON (SHARECAST) - Afren's 2011 average production rate was held back by a longer-than-anticipated period of facilities related downtime at the Ebok field in Nigeria, but the firm remains bullish about its production prospects in 2012.
The downtime was "due in part to safety requirements as a result of managing simultaneous production and drilling operations and commissioning work associated with the production processing equipment and power generation facilities."
Thus, the net working interest production average was 19,200 barrels of oil equivalents per day (boepd) in 2011, up from the 14,320boepd average the year before.
Meanwhile, the exit rate hit 53,200boepd in the fourth quarter and Afren expects to reach an average production rate of between 42,000boepd and 46,000boepd in 2012. However, that is less than the 55,400 of “net working interest production” at which it ended 2011, as announced on January 3rd and as some observers are pointing out.
The company now expects its Barda Rash field in Kurdistan to start pumping oil in August.
Meanwhile, the firm's 2P (proven and probable) and 2C (contingent) resources have increased by 650% due to the acquisition of two interests in the Kurdistan region of Iraq. 2P and 2C resources have risen from 136 million barrels of oil equivalents (mmboe) to 1,026mmboe at a cost of $0.66 per 2C barrel.
Group revenues in 2011 are expected to be $600m, up from $319 the year before, due to increased production and higher realised commodity prices. Meanwhile, the group's oil inventory stood at $37m by December 31st, compared with $14.2m at the same time last year. This represents 800,000 barrels net to Afren.
Net debt grew from $127.5m to $548m over the year, while cash increased from $140.2m to $292m.
Last week, Afren confirmed a "significant" new off-shore oil find just two kilometres east of its main site in Nigeria in the Okoro field; the firm said it had found 549 ft net oil pay in excellent quality reservoir sands.
According to Chief Executive Osman Shahenshah, "We have started our 2012 exploration campaign with a significant discovery offshore Nigeria, through the Okoro East Exploration well. The multi well drilling campaign in Ghana, Nigeria, the Joint Development Zone of Nigeria São Tomé and Príncipe, Tanzania, Kenya and the Kurdistan region of Iraq, has the potential to materially transform and increase our discovered resource base."

As of 10:08am shares of Afren are falling by 5.9% to 117.2p.

72 opmerkingen:

  1. gekopieerd van Olie- en gasdraadje:

    Precies Jan 12, 2012 10:47 AM
    Nog even wat info over Afren: huidige koers ca 105 p, beurswaarde ca 1,6 miljard USD, winsttaxatie voor 2012 ca 20 p p/a, veel geld in kas, relatief weinig schuld, huidige productie ca 55.000 barrels per dag en een ongelooflijke exploratieportfolio in talloze landen rond/in Afrika.

    Ter vergelijking: de beurswaarde van Coastal Energy is ca 1,7 miljard bij een dagproductie van ca 20.000 barrels.
    ---------------------------------------
    Precies Jan 17, 2012 02:47 AM
    UPDATE 1-Afren finds oil in offshore Nigeria well
    Tue Jan 17, 2012 3:02am EST
    * Says found 549 ft of net oil pay, 41 ft of net gas pay at well
    * To drill another well in offshore Ghana later this month
    Jan 17 (Reuters) - British oil firm Afren found oil at one of its wells in offshore south east Nigeria, and said it planned to drill another well in offshore Ghana later this month.
    Afren, whose main producing fields are in Nigeria but owns assets across Africa, said it found 549 feet of net oil pay -- the zone of a reservoir that contains economically producible oil -- and 41 feet of net gas pay at the Okoro East exploration well.
    The company said the well reached a total measured depth of 8,751 feet.
    Afren, which shares the well with Amni International Petroleum Development Co Ltd, said logging operations had been completed at the site and the well was being prepared for testing.
    Last month, First Hydrocarbon Nigeria (FHN), which is part-owned by Afren, said it had bought a 45 percent stake in Nigerian oil block OML 26 for $147.5 million from Shell , Total and Eni.
    Afren's shares, which have gained more than a quarter of their value over the past three months, closed at 115 pence on Monday on the London Stock Exchange, valuing the firm at 1.23 billion pounds ($1.89 billion).
    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
    commentaar: Afren spuit weer ca 12% omhoog vandaag en dat valt nog mee (tegen) gezien bovenstaand nieuws.

    549+41 feet net oil/gas pay = ca 180 m DIKKE laag netto met olie en gas.

    Stel je eens voor: een plas olie met een hoogte van een gebouw met ca 60 verdiepingen.........

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  2. Je mocht toch willen dat je in december had gekocht..

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  3. Continental Resources
    increased production 57% to 75,219 barrels of oil equivalent per day for Q4 2011 (CLR) 74.23 : Co reported production of 75,219 barrels of oil equivalent per day (Boepd) for the fourth quarter of 2011, a 57% increase over production of 48,034 Boepd for Q4 of 2010 and an increase of 13% over production in Q3 of 2011. Crude oil accounted for 72% of Continental's Q4 2011 production. Co achieved a production exit rate of 78,260 Boepd for December 2011, a 52% increase over the December 2010 monthly average exit rate of 51,635 Boepd. January 2012 production continues to accelerate at more than 80,000 Boepd thus far in the month. Full-year 2011 production totaled 22.6 MMBoe (mln barrels of oil equivalent), a 43% increase over 2010 production of 15.8 MMBoe. Continental's 2011 production beat its guidance for the year.

    Continental increased year-end 2011 proved reserves to 508 MMBoe, 39% higher than 2010 proved reserves of 365 MMBoe. The proved reserves additions in 2011 reflected 23.4 MMBoe of proved undeveloped reserves (PUDs) in the Arkoma Woodford natural gas play of Oklahoma that were declassed to Probable Undeveloped. Given the current low level of natural gas prices, co decided it is unlikely to drill the PUDs by year-end 2013 as originally scheduled. 2011 proved reserves represented $22 bln in undiscounted future net cash flows, before income taxes. Co's 2011 proved reserves had a net present value discounted at 10% (PV-10) of $9.2 bln, almost double the 2010 total.
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    ter vergelijking met Afren: Continental heeft ca 2x zoveel huidige dagproductie als Afren, ongeveer de helft van de reserves van Afren, een nettoschuld van ca 850 miljoen en een beurswaarde van ruim 14 miljard.
    De beurswaarde is dus bijna 9x zoveel als van Afren.

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  4. Precies wat zou jij doen, Afren of ATPG? Volatiliteit van ATPG heeft zo zijn voor- en nadelen namelijk.

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  5. Hendrik,
    dat is een goeie vraag op het juiste moment!

    Ik ben eerlijk gezegd het gedoe bij ATPG een beetje zat; er is altijd wat aan de hand en winst maken is voorlopig praktisch onmogelijk door de absurd hoge rente die ATPG moet betalen.
    En dan gaan ze ook nog doodleuk 30 à 40 miljoen steken in een wildcat bij Israel, dit lijkt een beetje op een noodsprong.
    Kortom ik ben bezig om mijn belang in ATPG wat af te bouwen.

    Daar komt bij dat ik net een aantal olie-juniors met grotere kansen en minder risico's heb ontdekt (o.a. Afren, Dragon Oil, Cobalt, Coastal Energy, Heritage, Bowleven). Dit zijn alle middelgrote juniors met forse inkomsten, reserves en/of contanten en vooral enorm goede kansen op grote vondsten.
    Bij Afren ben ik vooral benieuwd naar de productieproeven van de plas olie van ca 60 verdiepingen hoog/diep.

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  6. Precies,

    Bedankt voor je snelle reactie. Ik deel dezelfde mening, hoewel ik nog wel koop op dips bij ATPG, om vervolgens even later te verkopen.

    Nieuwe vraag; welke van je nieuw ontdekte juniors is je lieveling?
    Uiteraard doe ik eigen research ;-).

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    Reacties
    1. Hendrik,

      wat denk je??

      Het begint met een A.

      Verwijderen
    2. Ik beheer alleen maar wat ikzelf denk ;-).
      Maar goed laat ik zeggen dat je antwoord geen verrasing is.
      Lees nu trouwens net dat er een onderzoek naar ATPG wordt gestart aangaande mogelijke overtredingen m.b.t. vergoeding directeuren. Zie Yahoo Finance.

      Verwijderen
  7. Ter vergelijking mijn oude favoriet Arcan:
    ----------
    Despite forest fires, weather and pipeline issues, production volumes have shown significant growth and Arcan continues to execute on its drilling and fracture program and approach its 5,000 BOE per day 2011 exit volumes guidance.About ArcanArcan Resources Ltd. is an Alberta, Canada corporation that is principally engaged in the exploration, development and acquisition of petroleum and natural gas located in Canada's Western Sedimentary Basin. Arcan has 88,425,946 common shares, 8,623,333 stock options and $86,250,000 aggregate amount of 6.25% convertible unsecured subordinated debentures currently outstanding.
    -----------
    Arcan heeft nu een beurswaarde van ca een half miljard bij een dagproductie van ca 5000 BOE.
    Waarschijnlijk is de beurswaarde zo hoog omdat men denkt dat Arcan wordt overgenomen.

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  8. Kopie van artikel op Gas- en Oliedraadje dd 2 jan 2012:
    -----------------
    Afren oil explorer says output ahead of target

    Mon Jan 2, 2012 5:16am EST
    * Upcoming drilling campaign could transform resource base
    * Output above year-end target sustained since Dec. 19
    Jan 2 (Reuters) - Energy exploration firm Afren said production at its Ebok field, offshore Nigeria, had reached around 40,000 barrels per day (bpd), taking its end-2011 net output to some 55,400 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd), ahead of target.
    An output rate above the year-end goal of 50,000 boepd has been sustained since Dec. 19, it said, as a result of operations in Ivory Coast as well as Ebok and Okoro in Nigeria.
    "The group is in a strong position with aggregate net working interest production of 55,400 boepd going into 2012," Osman Shahenshah, chief executive of Afren, said in a statement on Monday.
    He added the company's forthcoming drilling campaign in Ghana, Nigeria, the Joint Development Zone of Nigeria Sao Tome and Principe, Tanzania, Kenya and the Kurdistan region of Iraq had the potential "to materially transform and increase our discovered resource base".
    In Nigeria, output at the Ebok field has increased to a stabilised rate of around 40,000 bpd following the commissioning and ramp-up of all production wells associated with the initial phases of the development.
    In addition, gross production on the Ogini and Isoko fields, onshore Nigeria, has nearly doubled to around 10,500 bpd from 6,000 bpd following technical changes at the start of December.
    Over the course of last year, Afren's share price lost close to half its value, reaching a low below 75 pence in November. A December rally took it to 85.70 pence by the end of 2011, around 15 percent above the November trough.

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  9. Ter vergelijking:
    -----------------
    Lundin Petroleum's production forecast for 2011 is in the range of 31,000 - 34,000 boepd.
    Production 2010
    Lundin Petroleum produced a total of 11.9 MMboe in 2010 from fields in Norway, France, Netherlands, Russia, Tunisia and Indonesia and from the United Kingdom for the first quarter only. Production throughout the year has been at the upper end of the production guidance.
    Sales 2010
    Lundin Petroleum sold a total of 11.7 MMboe at an average oil price achieved of USD 72.26 per boe. The average Dated Brent price for 2010 was USD 79.50 per barrel.
    Production forecast 2011
    As a result of strong production performance during the first half of 2011 we have revised our production guidance for 2011 upwards from the previous 28 -33,000 boepd to 31 - 34,000 boepd. This compares to 28,400 boepd in 2010, excluding the production from the divested UK and Indonesian assets.
    -------------------------------------------
    Bij een productie van ca 32.000 BOE per dag, heeft Lundin een market cap van ruim 7 miljard.

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  10. En dat is een vrij logische prijs voor Lundin! Ze hebben vrij recent een grote ontdekking gedaan.

    Lundin Petroleum hits the jackpot at AvaldsnesMore Kristoffer
    Bratteli, 05 October 2011
    Lundin Petroleum, the Swedish exploration company, has seen its shares rally 40% on Friday’s news it has upgraded its Avaldsnes discovery from 100-400 million barrels to 800-1.800 million barrels. Lundin is the operator of the field with a 40% stake.

    Dat komt dus bovenop wat ze al hadden.

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    Reacties
    1. Lundin is ongeveer verdubbeld dankzij de recente grote vondsten en dat is volkomen terecht.

      Blijft het feit dat de productie van Lundin pas in ca 2015/16 flink gaat stijgen en waarschijnlijk steeds achter zal (blijven) lopen bij Afren.

      De market cap van Afren is slechts ca 25% van die van Lundin, terwijl de netback en de risico's echt niet veel verschillen.

      Verwijderen
  11. Het lijkt erop dat de beleggingsfondsen ook ontdekt hebben dat Afren wel erg goedkoop is, vandaag schiet Afren omhoog: 130 p gezien.

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  12. Cobalt International Energy heeft bij een koers van ca 32 een beurswaarde van ca 12,3 MILJARD, de huidige productie is voor zover ik kan vinden op dit moment nihil.

    Op basis van een bericht van CIE over een nieuwe vondst met een netto productie van ca 8000 BOE per dag en een net oil pay met een dikte van ca 270 m, stijgt de beurswaarde van CIE met maar liefst ca 3 MILJARD.

    Toen Afren z'n recente grote vondst aankondigde steeg de beurswaarde slechts met ca 150 miljoen.

    Vergelijk deze vondst en de totale beurswaarde maar eens met de recente vondst en de beurswaarde van Afren.

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  13. Interactive Investor:


    http://www.iii.co.uk/investment/detail?code=cotn:AFR.L&display=fundamentals&it=le

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  14. Aandelen kopen waar werknemers gekidnapped worden en mensen vermoord? Hmmm

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    Reacties
    1. Anoniem,

      het is volstrekt onduidelijk of jouw bezwaar politiek of praktisch is bedoeld.

      Ik wil je erop wijzen dat iedereen die (direkt of via pensioenfonds) aandelen Royal Dutch Shell bezit, ook belangen heeft in Nigeria.

      Als het een praktisch bezwaar is, dan moet ik je erop wijzen dat oliewinning en alles eromheen OVERAL ter wereld gepaard gaat met risico's, zelfs op de Noordzee vallen regelmatig doden bij de oliewinning. En over de BP-ramp hoeven we het natuurlijk niet te hebben.
      Ook een schip van b.v. Dockwise kan overvallen worden door piraten met doden als gevolg.
      En laten we het maar niet hebben over landen zoals Mexico, Peru, Zuid-Soedan, Papoea Nieuw-Guinea, Rusland, etc, etc.

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  15. John ♥ Afren
    Door John van der Schenk op 14 feb 2012 om 10:10 | Onderwerpen: olieservicesector, Valentijn

    Mijn Valentijn is het Brits genoteerde Afren (oliewinning).
    Het is van groot belang dat beleggingen voldoen aan enkele criteria, die kort samengevat inhouden dat de activa niet alleen produktief zijn, maar ook aantrekkelijk gewaardeerd.
    De kans om goede beleggingen te vinden wordt groter als de zoektocht mondiaal is en niet te regionaal (alleen Nederland of Europa). In de oliewinning zijn mondiaal vele spelers, waarbij Afren een prachtige uitgangspositie heeft.
    Afren is een onafhankelijke olie-exploiratieonderneming met een portefeuille van 31 projecten in 11 Afrikaanse landen en Kurdistan. Ik geef u op een aantal interessante observaties.
    Verdubbeling productie
    Het management is zeer gedreven. In 2011 zijn de gestelde doelstellingen om de olieproductie te verdubbelen waargemaakt. De olieprijs was ook nog licht hoger. Echter, ondanks het feit dat de waardering van deze onderneming al aantrekkelijk was, heeft de aandelenkoers toch een enorme duikeling gemaakt met 42%.
    Dus een verdubbeling van de produktie en bijna een halvering van de koers veroorzaakt een uitermate aantrekkelijke waardering in mijn ogen. De brutomarges liggen boven de 25% met een koerswinstverhouding van inmiddels ruim 6x is nog steeds mager, zeker met een verder toenemende produktiegroei in het vooruitzicht.
    De huidige marktkapitalisatie van Afren is 1,4 miljard Britse pond. Medio vorig jaar heeft Afren olievelden in Kurdistan gekocht voor een totale prijs van 588 miljoen Amerikaanse dollars, ofwel een prijs van 0,66 dollar per barrel geschatte reserves. Dat is een lage prijs.
    Kurdistan-assets
    De potentie voor een significante herwaardering wordt duidelijk als een maand later Vallares een bod doet op Genel Energy voor 2,1 miljard dollar. Genel heeft 356 miljoen geschatte barrels reserves in Kurdistan, ofwel hier wordt 5,90 dollar per barrel geschatte reserves betaald.
    Het verschil is, dat Genel wel olie produceert (41.000 barrels per dag) en Afren nog niet. De doelstelling van Afren is om in de tweede helft van 2012 in Kurdistan te gaan produceren, dus de waardering van deze assets zou de koers een forse ondersteuning moeten geven.
    Een gelijkwaardige waardering van alleen de Kurdistan-assets geeft al een waarderingspotentieel van ruim 5 miljard dollar, of 3,3 miljard pond. Intussen krijgen ook de grote maatschappijen interesse in deze regio (Exxon, Total) wat de algemene waardering van de assets ten goede zal komen.
    Kortom, voldoende reden om deze aantrekkelijke onderneming te omarmen.
    ----------------
    Fonds Bloemendaal heeft aandelen Afren in portefeuille en bijgekocht in de tweede helft van 2011. John van der Schenk is portfoliomanager van Fonds Bloemendaal, een Nederlands multi-strategy beleggingsfonds met mondiale reikwijdte

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    Reacties
    1. Het is wel duidelijk dat Afren op het punt staat om 'ontdekt' te worden door in ieder geval de grote beleggers.

      Als de kleine beleggers ook mee willen doen, dan moeten ze gewoon opschieten.....!!!

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    2. Twijfelachtige aan AFREN is dat ze grotendeels in Afrika zitten (niet raar bedoeld); Nigeria, Ivoorkust, Kenia.

      Ik ben niet zo thuis in die landen, maar je hoort vaak van politieke instabiliteit.

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    3. Anoniem, alle grote olie-bedrijven zitten in Afrika, incl. Shell.

      Gezien de enorme kapitalen en knowhow die nodig zijn voor olie-en gasexploratie en productie, zijn de oliebedrijven van harte welkom in Afrika.
      Zonder bedrijven als Afren blijft de olie en het gas voor altijd onder de grond.
      Dat geldt nog meer voor exploratie op zee.

      Zuid-Amerika is politiek gezien veel riskanter voor oliebedrijven.

      Verwijderen
    4. Ik kijk niet naar oliebedrijven, ik kijk naar ondergewaardeerde bedrijven. Olie of zeeschelpen, het maakt me weinig uit. Maar je hebt denk ik wel een punt mbt de expertise

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  16. PTT Exploration Offers $1.7 Billion for Cove Energy, Topping Shell’s Offer
    By Eduard Gismatullin - Feb 24, 2012

    PTT Exploration & Production Pcl (PTTEP), Thailand’s only listed oil and gas company, offered 1.1 billion pounds ($1.7 billion) for Cove Energy Plc, trumping an earlier bid for the African explorer by Royal Dutch Shell Plc. (RDSA)
    PTT Exploration offered 220 pence for each Cove share, 13 percent more than Shell’s proposal, according to a statement today. Cove surged as much as 25 percent in London trading, indicating investors are betting on further bids.
    “We think Shell is the Mozambique government’s preferred bidder and will likely raise its offer to 240 pence” a share, said Stuart Joyner, an analyst at Investec Securities in London.
    Cove holds an 8.5 percent stake in a block off Mozambique where Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC) has found as much as 30 trillion cubic feet of gas. That would be enough to justify production of liquefied natural gas to supply Asian markets.
    Cove said in a separate statement that the formal sale process for the company will continue and it reserves the right to reject any approach.
    Earlier this week, Shell bid $1.6 billion to buy Cove to gain a foothold in Mozambique. Jon French, a London-based spokesman for Shell, declined to comment today when asked whether the company would be prepared to raise its offer.
    Afren, Ophir
    Cove traded up 22 percent on the day at 237 pence as of 3:50 p.m. local time. Other African explorers also gained, with Ophir Energy Plc rising as much as 13 percent and Afren Plc (AFR) climbing 4.8 percent.
    East Africa’s fields offer a fresh source of gas supply for Asia, where China and India are the world’s fastest-growing major economies. Eni SpA (ENI) of Italy and Statoil ASA of Norway have also discovered natural gas off Mozambique and Tanzania.
    Statoil’s Executive Vice President for Exploration Tim Dodson today declined to say whether Norway’s largest oil company would be interested in joining the race for Cove.
    Cove has already been working with Total SA (FP) and BG Group Plc (BG/) to explore off the coast of Kenya. Last year, it joined Cairn Energy Plc (CNE) to bid for exploration licenses off Lebanon.
    Standard Chartered Bank is advising Cove (COV), which put itself up for sale last month. UBS AG is advising PTT Exploration.
    The sale is dependent on approval from the government of Mozambique.

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    Reacties
    1. commentaar: vergeleken met Afren is Cove Energy een flutbedrijfje zonder productie.
      Van een 8,5% belang in een grote offshore gasvondst wordt ik niet echt warm.

      Toch acht men Cove kennelijk meer waard dan Afren op de beurs.

      Hieruit blijkt nogmaals de grote onderwaardering van Afren.

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  17. @Precies: Hayward van Genel heeft een kleine 1,2 Billion Pound over, waar hij wat aankopen mee wil doen. Liefst buiten Kurdistan als ik het goed begrijp. Enig idee of hij interesse in delen van Afren zou kunnen hebben? Nigeria ofzo?
    Alvast bedankt voor uw visie,
    Seadoc

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    Reacties
    1. Seadoc,

      ik heb natuurlijk geen idee wat Genel met 1,2 miljard wil gaan doen, maar ik weet wel zeker dat het aantal overnames van olie-juniors met grote vondsten flink gaat toenemen, de olie-majors barsten immers van het geld.

      Afren heeft geen geld nodig en is volgens mij niet te koop (waarom zouden ze, het loopt als een trein!), maar je weet het natuurlijk nooit zeker.
      Ik zou zeggen koop een stuk of 10 succesvolle olie-juniors en wacht rustig af.

      Verwijderen
  18. Afren plc (AFR LN)
    Information update
    February 22, 2012 - In connection with the proposed offering of Senior Secured Notes, Afren plc ("Afren" or the "Company") today provides the following information update comprising the unaudited financial statements of the Company for the ten months ended 31 October 2011, and independent reserve and resource estimates by Netherland, Sewell & Associates and RPS Energy at 31 December 2011. The independent reserve and resource estimates published below have been issued in advance of the publication of Afren's 2011 Full-year Results, when the Company anticipates that ongoing assessment of its recently acquired assets onshore Nigeria and the Kurdistan region of Iraq will be completed and further updated independent estimates will be available.

    Unaudited Condensed Group Income Statement
    for the ten months ended 31 October 2011
    Notes
    10 months ended
    31 October
    2011
    US$000's
    10 months ended
    31 October
    2010
    US$000's
    Revenue
    404,026
    298,920
    Cost of sales
    (212,201)
    (171,574)
    Gross profit
    191,825
    127,346
    Administrative expenses
    (20,745)
    (26,979)
    Other operating (expenses)/ income
    - impairment of oil and gas assets
    (833)
    (956)
    - derivative financial instruments
    (9,692)
    (4,835)
    Operating profit
    160,555
    94,576
    Investment revenue
    368
    280
    Finance costs
    (46,306)
    (9,861)
    Other gains and (losses)
    - foreign currency gains/ (losses)
    727
    (303)
    - fair value of financial liabilities and
    financial assets
    (97)
    (5,538)
    - gain on investment in associate company
    15,878
    -Share of profit/(loss) of an associate
    1,622
    (604)
    Profit from continuing activities before tax
    132,747
    78,550
    Income tax expense
    4
    (66,560)
    (29,120)
    Profit from continuing activities after tax
    3
    66,187
    49,430
    Discontinued operations
    Loss for the period from discontinued operations
    (2,626)
    (24)
    Profit for the period
    63,561
    49,406
    Profit per share from continuing activities
    Basic
    2
    6.6c
    5.5c
    Diluted
    2
    6.3c
    5.3c
    Profit per share from continuing and discontinued operations
    Basic
    2
    6.3c
    5.5c
    Diluted
    2
    6.0c
    5.3c

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  19. Prospective resources

    The estimated OOIP and unrisked gross (100 per cent) prospective oil resources for these properties, as of 31 December, 2011 are as follows:

    OOIP (MMBBL)
    Unrisked Gross (100 Percent)
    Contingent oil resources (MMBBL)
    Area
    Low
    Estimate
    Best
    Estimate
    High
    Estimate
    Low
    Estimate
    Best
    Estimate
    High
    Estimate

    Congo
    521.5
    1,025.9
    1,744.0
    114.6
    251.6
    481.9
    Côte d'Ivoire
    110.6
    273.8
    698.0
    22.8
    59.5
    157.8
    Ethiopia
    35.8
    85.3
    285.7
    6.8
    17.0
    57.4
    Ghana (1)
    722.4
    2,416.7
    8,061.2
    153.9
    604.2
    2,299.5
    Kenya
    2,298.9
    5,321.5
    14,082.7
    457.9
    1,125.1
    3,121.8
    Madagascar
    48.9
    212.8
    1,618.6
    9.0
    41.4
    330.8
    JDZ Block 1
    734.1
    1,003.0
    1,348.5
    229.4
    350.1
    518.4
    Nigeria (2)
    623.7
    1,324.5
    2,465.4
    195.1
    450.2
    901.5
    Seychelles
    1,082.4
    3,465.2
    12,784.2
    199.8
    672.4
    2,596.4
    South Africa
    580.4
    827.5
    1,190.6
    108.0
    175.3
    280.4
    Tanzania
    2,149.3
    4,705.5
    12,908.0
    425.4
    989.6
    2,841.7


    (1) Note, does not include NSAI's 2011 re-evaluation of the Keta Block, offshore Ghana.
    (2) Prospective oil volumes include condensate associated with the OPL 310 prospective gas resources.

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
  20. Leuk om te weten:
    sinds het dieptepunt in 2009 is Afren op dit moment ca vertienvoudigd, dat lijkt veel, maar de koers staat nog ruim onder de topkoers in 2008 (ca 180 p), die werd bereikt toen de jaarproductie nog slechts 1,3 miljoen BOE was.

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
    Reacties
    1. Maar als je zo zeker bent van de potentie van dit aandeel, dan heb je toch ook geen spreiding meer nodig zou je zeggen?

      Verwijderen
    2. Anoniem,
      echte zekerheid bestaat niet in de (aandelen)wereld.
      Ik ben al zo vaak teleurgesteld door aandelen, die 'bijna zeker' grote winst zouden opleveren, een mooi voorbeeld is Xemplar.
      Een ander mooi voorbeeld is Xcite, waar ik niet ingestonken ben, maar talloze andere kleine beleggers wel.
      Ik ben flink overwogen in Afren, maar ik zou nooit op een paard willen wedden.
      Of ben je de BP-olieramp soms al vergeten..??

      Verwijderen
    3. Het was dan ook een retorische vraag ;-)

      Verwijderen
  21. PTT Exploration Faces ‘High’ Competition for Cove, CEO Says
    By Supunnabul Suwannakij and Eduard Gismatullin - Feb 27, 2012 8:11 AM

    PTT Exploration & Production Pcl (PTTEP) expects to face stiff competition from international rivals to acquire U.K.-listed Cove Energy Plc (COV) after it trumped a bid for the African explorer by Royal Dutch Shell Plc. (RDSA)
    “The competition is quite high and we are doing our best,” Chief Executive Officer Anon Sirisaengtaksin said in a telephone interview today. “Our offer is based on plenty of studies, including surface evaluation and due diligence, which showed that Cove’s assets are world class and have high potential for discovering a large amount of gas.”
    Thailand’s only listed oil and gas explorer on Feb. 24 offered 1.1 billion pounds ($1.7 billion) for Cove. The Bangkok- based company’s proposal of 220 pence for each share was 13 percent more than Shell’s bid. PTT Exploration’s shares fell.
    Cove holds 8.5 percent of a block off Mozambique where Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC) has found as much as 30 trillion cubic feet of gas. That would be enough to justify production of liquefied natural gas to supply Asian markets. Cove said in a separate Feb. 24 statement the sale process for the company will continue and it reserves the right to reject any approach.
    “We think Shell is the Mozambique government’s preferred bidder and will likely raise its offer to 240 pence” a share, said Stuart Joyner, an analyst at Investec Securities in London.
    Share Performance
    PTT Exploration fell as much as 1.4 percent to 182.5 baht and traded at 184 baht as of 12:30 p.m. in Bangkok. Cove surged 21 percent to 235 pence in London Feb. 24, indicating investors are betting on further bids.
    On Feb. 22, Shell bid $1.6 billion to buy Cove to gain a foothold in Mozambique. Jon French, a London-based spokesman for Shell, declined to comment Feb. 24 when asked whether the company would be prepared to raise its offer.

    PTT Exploration’s bid values Cove at $4.6 per barrel of oil equivalent of resource and “is already hot in my view,” said Jason Kenney, an analyst at Banco Santander SA in Edinburgh. “I’d be surprised if a Western oil major would pay above this level as it looks expensive. Never say never though.”
    East Africa’s fields offer a fresh source of gas supply for Asia, where China and India are the world’s fastest-growing major economies. Eni SpA (ENI) of Italy, BG Group Plc (BG/) of the U.K. and Statoil ASA of Norway also discovered natural gas off Mozambique and Tanzania. Statoil’s Executive Vice President for Exploration Tim Dodson last week declined to say whether Norway’s largest oil company would be interested in joining the race for Cove.

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
  22. Precies,

    Wat is je mening over de bond van 10,5 % van Afren?:

    Seadoc

    LONDON (Dow Jones)--Oil and gas company Afren PLC (AFR.LN), guaranteed by Afren Nigeria Holdings, set price guidance on its seven-year bond to yield 10.5% to 10.75%, one of the banks on the deal said Wednesday.

    The size of the issue is $300-350 million.

    The company did a series of global investor meetings ahead of the bond sale, in London and in the U.S., throughout this week. Pricing is expected Thursday.

    BNP Paribas SA, Deutsche Bank AG and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are lead managers on the deal.

    The issuer is rated B- by Standard & Poor's Corp. and B by Fitch Ratings.

    Proceeds will be used to repay existing debt and general corporate purposes

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
    Reacties
    1. Seadoc,

      als je van obligaties houdt, dan lijkt me deze zeer aantrekkelijk.

      Als ik het goed heb wordt het geld vooral gebruikt om andere schulden af te lossen, echt nodig hebben ze het geld niet, maar blijkbaar willen ze een flinke kas houden voor overnames of investeringen.
      Gezien de grote cashflow zie ik weinig risico's.

      Verwijderen
  23. Nieuws over de laatste grote vondst:

    • Okoro East well objectives successfully completed without incident
    and within planned time and budget
    • MDT and DST programmes were successful as designed
    - Purpose of test programme was to obtain fluid samples and pressure
    data in order to establish reservoir connectivity, heterogeneity and
    quantify reservoir properties
    • DSTs carried out in three reservoir zones
    - Confirmed a high quality 38 - 40° API oil
    - Multi Darcy permeability and average porosity of 30% to 35% across
    subject reservoirs
    - Pressure build-up analysis in agreement with structural mapping –
    validates pre-drill volumetric estimates (Pmean STOIIP of 157 mmbbls)
    • Future horizontal production wells expected to produce between 4,500
    bopd to 7,000 bopd per well
    - Two production wells to be drilled in 2012 from nearby Okoro main field
    WHP
    - Simultaneously full field development plans will be worked up (could see
    up to eight producers)
    -----------
    Excellent start to Afren’s 2012 exploration campaign
    •High quality discovery made at Okoro East – emphasises potential of Afren’s Nigerian portfolio
    •Test data obtained assists the Company’s structural understanding of the field and supports volumetric estimates (Pmean STOIIP of 157 mmbbls)
    •Light oil: 38° - 40° API
    •Capable of yielding rates of 4,500 bopd to 7,000 bopd per development well
    -Early production from two wells to be drilled from Okoro main field WHP in H2 2012 – exceptional economics
    •Full field development could see up to a further eight wells
    •Pursue follow on prospectivity on Okoro

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
    Reacties
    1. Als ik uitga van 8 bronnen en 5000 gemiddeld per bron, dan kan Okoro East een productie gaan halen van ca 40.000 BOE per dag.



      http://www.afren.com/download.axd?id=1486

      Verwijderen
    2. Okoro ligt in ieder geval vlak voor de Nigeriaanse kust. Als de pijpleidingen in zee liggen "lekken" ze niet zo.

      Verwijderen
  24. UPDATE 1-Afren's profit nearly triples

    March 27 | Tue Mar 27, 2012 2:16am EDT
    (Reuters) - British oil firm Afren's full-year profit nearly tripled, benefiting from a key oil field off the coast of Nigeria that went onstream in 2011.

    The company, whose main producing assets are in Nigeria, said it was on track for producing 42,000 to 46,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) in 2012.

    Afren's 2011 exit rate was about 50,000 boepd. Gross production at the Ebok oil field in Nigeria was 8,023 boepd.

    "We have made a successful start to our multi-well exploration campaign for 2012 with a significant new discovery offshore Nigeria," Chief Executive Osman Shahenshah said.

    "We have a visible production trajectory to 100,000 boepd by 2017."

    Pretax profit in 2011 rose to $221 million from $79 million a year earlier.

    Shares of the company, which have gained about 45 percent since the beginning of this year, closed at 131 pence on Monday on the London Stock Exchange.

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
  25. UPDATE 1- Afren, Hunt make major oil find in Kurdistan

    LONDON, April 17 | Tue Apr 17, 2012 2:31am EDT
    (Reuters) - London-listed oil explorer Afren Plc said on Tuesday it and partner Hunt Oil had made a "significant" oil discovery in Kurdistan, adding to a string of discoveries that have attracted foreign oil companies to the semi-autonomous region of Iraq in recent years.
    Afren said the find in the Ain Sifni exploration block, which is operated by Hunt Oil, suggested the results of the Simrit-2 well suggested the block had "the potential to be transformational for Afren".
    Afren previously said on its website that Ain Sifni had prospective resources of 917 million barrels.
    Kurdistan remains locked in a dispute over oil revenue sharing with Baghdad, which says the contracts signed by the Kurdish government are illegal. This has blocked exports of crude from the region, weighing on the value of assets there.

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  26. Afren reveals disappointing result offshore Ghana
    25 April 2012 | 13:04pm

    StockMarketWire.com - Afren has revealed disappointing results from the Nunya-1x exploration well in the Keta block offshore Ghana.

    The well encountered thick and high quality water bearing reservoirs.

    The objective of the Nunya-1x exploration well was to explore a large four-way dip closed Upper Cretaceous prospect in the Keta block, located offshore Ghana.

    The well intersected 153 metres of very good quality sandstone reservoirs, however they were interpreted as water bearing.

    The well was drilled with the Marianas semi-submersible drilling rig to a total depth of 4,550 metres in a water depth of 1,687 metres.

    Afren has a 35% carried interest in the Keta Block and is partnered by Eni (35% and operator), Mitsui (20%) and GNPC (10%).

    Chief executive Osman Shahenshah said: "Whilst the Nunya-1x exploration well result is disappointing, it was the first well to test the Upper Cretaceous play on the Keta block and as such has provided important data with which to calibrate and further enhance our understanding of this under-explored block in what still remains a very high potential basin.

    "We continue to make excellent progress with our wider exploration programme, which has already yielded two significant discoveries year to date, and look forward next to the results of the Ebok North Fault Block exploration well which has spudded in Nigeria and is drilling ahead towards target."

    At 1:04pm: (LON:AFR) share price was -5.9p at 136.8p

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
  27. Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas in Colombia, Peru, and Guatemala. The company holds interests in the Rubiales/Piriri and Quifa oil fields in the Llanos Basin, Colombia; and the La Creciente natural gas field in northern Colombia. It also has interests in the exploration properties, including 41 blocks in Colombia, 2 blocks in Guatemala, and 3 blocks in Peru. In addition, the company operates oil pipelines in Colombia. As of December 31, 2011, its proved plus probable reserves consisted of 407 million barrels of oil equivalent. The company was formerly known as Petro Rubiales Energy Corp. and changed its name to Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. in January 2008. Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
    Reacties
    1. Pacific Rubiales (vooral werkzaam in Colombia) heeft recent goede resultaten bekend gemaakt; de dagproductie van dit bedrijf is bijna 100.000 BOE, oftewel ruim het dubbele van Afren.
      De bekende reserves zijn ruim 400 miljoen BOE; Afren zit hier ruim boven.

      De beurswaarde is ruim 7,5 miljard, dus bijna 5x zo hoog als die van Afren...!!!

      Vraag niet hoe dit kan, maar profiteer hiervan.

      Verwijderen
  28. Afren plc announce successful Ebok North Fault Block exploration well
    Monday, May 14, 2012

    Afren plc announces that the Ebok North Fault Block exploration well, offshore south east Nigeria, has encountered 370 ft true vertical thickness (TVT) of net oil pay in excellent quality reservoir sands.
    The Ebok North Fault Block ("Ebok NFB") exploration well was spudded on 12 April 2012 by Afren and Oriental Energy Resources ("Oriental"), and reached a total vertical (and measured) depth of 4,320 ft, with the Transocean Adriatic lX jack-up drilling rig. The well was targeting a separate fault block structure located to the north of the main Ebok field, and has successfully encountered 370 ft net pay (TVT) of good quality oil in the same Tertiary reservoir sands equivalent to those that have been developed and are in production at the main Ebok field development. The discovery of significant oil pay at this location underlines the high-grade prospectivity that exists across the wider Ebok/Okwok/OML 115 area, and represents an important step towards unlocking the full volume and value potential of what is a core hub of Afren's portfolio.
    Logging operations at the Ebok NFB well have been completed, with data obtained supporting a PmeanSTOIIP in excess of 100 million barrels of oil, towards the upper end of Afren's pre-drill expectations. The well will now be suspended whilst Afren and Oriental determine the optimal development solution for Ebok NFB. This will likely incorporate synergies using the existing production, storage and offtake infrastructure at the main Ebok field and could involve the early drilling of new production wells from the existing wellhead platform at Ebok West Fault Block, followed by a full field development of Ebok NFB. The Transocean Adriatic IX rig will shortly commence the drilling of early production wells at the recent Okoro East discovery.

    Osman Shahenshah, Chief Executive of Afren, commented:
    "We are delighted to have continued our run of exploration success this year with the Ebok NFB well, which follows on from the Okoro East discovery also offshore south east Nigeria and the Simrit-2 exploration well in the Kurdistan region of Iraq. The proximity of Ebok NFB to existing infrastructure at the main Ebok field production hub means that we can quickly monetise these newly discovered volumes. We now look forward to the test results from Simrit-2 discovery in the Kurdistan region of Iraq, followed by exploration drilling in East Africa."

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  29. Afren's 2012 exploration campaign could be a game-changer, says broker
    15th May 2012, 12:13 pm by Giles Gwinnett

    It comes after the company issued a bullish IMS this morning and production update for the first quarter, in which it generated US$300.2 million in net operating cashflow in the three months
    FTSE 250 oil firm Afren (LON:AFR), which has assets across 12 countries, has a potentially game-changing exploration campaign this year, says Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
    It is targeting 630 million barrels of oil equivalent through drilling up to 14 wells across Kurdistan and Africa.
    Alongside this, its production guidance of between 42,000 and 46,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) looks eminently "achievable", says BoA Merrill Lynch analyst Alexander Holbourn in a note to clients.
    It comes after the company issued a bullish IMS this morning and production update for the first quarter, in which it generated US$300.2 million in net operating cashflow in the three months.
    To understand the scale of the firm's ambitions, Holbourn said 2012's target of 630 million barrels of mean resources represented around two thirds of Afren’s current 2P reserve and 2C resource base - of 995 million barrels of oil equivalent.
    Today's update from the firm comes after it unveiled last month the ‘potentially transformational’ oil discovery in the Kurdistan region of Northern Iraq and just a day after a significant find at the Ebok North Fault block in Nigeria.
    In Kurdistan, the Simrit-2 discovery well, in which it has 20 per cent stake, found a significant oil accumulation in the Ain Sifni PSC (production sharing contract).
    Simrit-2 found an estimated 409 metres of net oil pay – with around 312 metres of that believed to be light oil.
    Today, Holbourn highlighted the firm's operational and political progress of the firm in Kurdistan, after the broker's recent field trip to the Barda Rash field - one of the firm's two assets in the region.
    At Barda Rash, said the analyst, first oil remained on track for August this year at an expected rate of between 10-15,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, contributing 3-5,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in the full year 2012.
    "Production in the medium-term will be ramped up to trucking capacity of around 35kboe/d, with pipeline capacity enabling 125,000 boe/d by 2017," he added.
    In the shorter term for Kurdistan, the analyst said the broker was awaiting the results of flow tests on the JS-2 (Jebel Simrit) well by the end of July, followed by a JS-3 exploration well in the second half of this year.
    Holbourn rates the stock a 'buy' and has a price target of 276 pence (current price: 120.60 pence).
    Afren also highlighted today its exploration success offshore Nigeria, at the Ebok North Fault Block exploration well, announced yesterday, which found 370 ft of good quality oil pay.
    This follows on from the Kurdistan discovery and successes at the Okoro East block, announced in January this year.
    Yesterday, the company said the closeness of the Ebok North Fault block to its existing infrastructure at the main Ebok field-production hub meant it could quickly monetise the discoveries.
    City heavyweight Morgan Stanley, which rates the firm "overweight", said the Ebok North find firmly established the area as one of Afren’s core producing and development hubs.
    "With several Ebok West Fault Block well slots available, we expect rapid partial monetization of the discovery via two producing wells in 2013 (enhancing the find’s economics) followed by a standalone full field development," analyst Jamie Maddock said in a note.
    As a result, the broker has increased its target price for Afren to 227 pence, from 218 pence previously, implying around a 90 per cent upside from its current share price.
    As for Kurdistan, Maddock said he expected initial Jebel-Simrit-2 well flow tests to provide greater clarity on commerciality and on any possible upside potential.

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
  30. Volgens Digital Look:


    Afren Forecasts
    Year Ending Revenue (£m) Pre-tax (£m) EPS P/E PEG EPS Grth. Div Yield
    31-Dec-12 864.51 428.19 21.43p 4.4 0.0 +172% n/a 0.0%
    31-Dec-13 780.99 422.72 16.22p 5.8 n/a -24% n/a 0.0%

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
    Reacties
    1. Ter vergelijking: Ophir Energy Overview:
      This international oil and gas exploration company has an interest in 17 oil and gas projects across eight different African countries. After floating in July 2011, the firm, which is backed by Indian steel billionaire Lakshmi Mittal, entered the FTSE250 in September. While it has made a number of discoveries – in Tanzania and in Equatorial Guinea – many of Ophir’s assets are unproven as yet. Ophir plans to drill 10 wells in 2012, mainly in Tanzania, where it hopes to capitalise on liquid natural gas reserves.
      -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Dit bedrijf lijkt als 2 druppels water op Afren, maar er zijn een paar verschillen:
      Ophir maakt nu en de komende jaren geen cent winst en moet dus nog fors geld lenen om z'n olie en gas uit de grond te krijgen.
      De beurswaarde van Ophir is ca 2,3 x zo groot en de koers is dit jaar gestegen van een dieptepunt van ca 185 p naar nu ca 575 p.

      Wie is er nu gek: de kopers van Ophir of de verkopers van Afren......????

      Verwijderen
  31. Afren Rises Most In A Month Amid Takeover Speculation
    By Eduard Gismatullin - Jul 10, 2012 11:54 AM GMT+0200

    Afren Plc (AFR), a U.K.-based oil and gas company focused on Nigeria and Iraq, rose the most in a month in London trading on speculation it may get a takeover offer.
    Afren jumped as much as 9 percent and traded up 8.4 percent at 113.6 pence as of 10:53 a.m. local time. That’s the biggest gain since June 6 and the most among companies on the FTSE All- Share Index. The stock has risen 33 percent this year, valuing the company at 1.2 billion pounds ($1.9 billion).
    Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) and Eni SpA (ENI) are examining possible bids for Afren, the U.K.’s Daily Mail said yesterday. Either one could offer at least 200 pence a share, the newspaper reported, without saying where it got the information.
    Afren could be a potential target, Andrew Whittock, a London-based analyst at Liberum Capital Ltd., said by phone. Some companies may be put off by the operating environment in Nigeria and Iraq, where Afren is operating in the northern Kurdistan region, he said.
    An official at Eni, who asked not to be identified citing company policy, declined to comment immediately. Sophie Foale, a U.K. spokeswoman for Exxon, wasn’t immediately available.
    To contact the reporter on this story: Eduard Gismatullin in London at egismatullin@bloomberg.net

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
  32. Afren Doubles East Africa Resource Scope, Gets Partner Interest
    By Eduard Gismatullin - Aug 21, 2012 11:01 AM GMT+0200

    Afren Plc (AFR), a U.K.-based oil and gas company focused on Nigeria and Iraq, more than doubled its East African resource estimate to 5.8 billion barrels of oil equivalent after new analysis and seismic examinations.
    The company plans to drill exploration wells in Kenya, Ethiopia, Tanzania and Madagascar in the next 18 months.
    In Kenya’s Blocks L17 and L18, the resources estimate was raised to 1.1 billion barrels from 94 million barrels, while the company is carrying out “3D seismic offshore” exploration works, Chief Executive Officer Osman Shahenshah said.
    Marathon Oil Corp. is the latest entrant into East African exploration, while Total SA, Eni Spa, Tullow Oil Plc are among those expanding operations in the region. Shahenshah in March forecast more explorers would secure fields in East Africa following the first onshore crude oil discovery in Kenya.
    “From time to time companies approach us indicating interest to participate with us in some fields,” he said in an interview. “There is more and more interest in East Africa.”
    The company more than tripled output to a daily net 41,251 barrels of oil equivalent in the first half from last year. Sales rose almost fivefold to $771.7 million because of the higher output, London-based Afren said today in a statement.
    While second-quarter production was curbed by maintenance, Shahenshah reiterated full-year guidance of 42,000 to 46,000 barrels a day. Afren has begun output at the Barda Rash field in Iraqi Kurdistan, with the first well yielding more than 6,000 barrels oil a day. Output will rise to as much as 15,000 barrels with wells brought on stream by the year-end, Shahenshah said.
    The company plans to produce 35,000 barrels a day in Kurdistan next year, with extraction expected to rise to 125,000 barrels of oil a day in 2017. “That’s what we call the base case, there is obviously upside from there,” the CEO said.

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
    Reacties
    1. Afren is zo'n beetje het tegenovergestelde (in reserves, productie en balans) van ATPG.

      Zodra de situatie op de aandelenmarkten weer een beetje normaal wordt, dan lijkt het onvermijdelijk dat de koers van Afren gaat verveelvoudigen (nu ca 128 p.)

      Verwijderen
  33. Afren Reports Record Results
    By Sam Robson | More Articles
    August 21, 2012 | Comments (0)

    LONDON -- Oil and gas exploration and production company Afren (LSE: AFR.L ) announced its half-year results this morning and they were well received by shareholders, as pre-tax profits increased by a huge 621.7% to $316 million, up from $43.8 million at this stage last year.
    Revenue increased to $771.7 million, a 379.3% lift up on H1 2011's $161 million. Management stated that these record financial results were driven by the year-on-year increase in net production from the Ebok field offshore Nigeria, while the company announced that production has begun at the Barda Rash field in the Kurdistan region of Iraq, a little more than a year after the acquisition took place.
    Elsewhere in the results, shareholders will have been pleased with the positive net cash position of $443.7 million, up from $320.9 million at the half-time stage last year. Regular Foolish readers will be fully aware that the "D" in Stephen Bland's PYAD system stands for "debt" -- so for a small cap to have plenty in the bank is a very good sign. Rumors continue to circulate that Afren is being eyed up for a potential buyout by ExxonMobil, too.

    Afren Chief Executive Osman Shahenshah talked about the future of the company:
    The strong financial results, with over seven hundred million dollars of revenue and half a billion dollars of net operating cash flow, all from Afren's greenfield developments, is testimony to our strong and established operating track record. The Okoro East and Ebok North Fault Block discoveries in Nigeria and Simrit-2 discovery in the Kurdistan region of Iraq will add significantly to the already material 2P reserves base of 185 million barrels and 2P/2C base of 995 million barrels of oil equivalent.
    In East Africa, the ongoing maturing of the portfolio has resulted in a mean prospective resources upgrade to 5,838 million barrels of oil equivalent (from 2,113 million barrels of oil equivalent). With a number of high impact exploration wells to be drilled in both West and East Africa and the Kurdistan region of Iraq, and the growing production base, Afren is well placed for continued success.
    Afren isn't the only company picking up interest in the oil and gas sector right now, and our analysts at The Motley Fool have created a free report to help you find them.

    Download "How to Unearth Great Oil & Gas Shares" straight to your inbox, and read about one area of the sector that we think is set to expand rapidly, as well as what to look for when evaluating a company's prospects. Why wait? It's absolutely free!

    Further Motley Fool investment opportunities:

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
  34. Afren to Invest $120 Million in East Africa as Oil Race Quickens
    By Sarah McGregor - Oct 25, 2012 2:48 PM GMT+0200

    Afren Plc (AFR), a U.K. oil and gas explorer, plans to spend as much as $120 million in two years drilling wells in East Africa as the region’s untapped resources lure competitors from Royal Dutch Shell Plc (RDSA) to Total SA.
    Afren intends to drill four exploration wells, Associate Director Galib Virani said today in an interview in Kenya’s capital, Nairobi. The company has licenses in Kenya, Tanzania, Madagascar, Ethiopia and the Seychelles, he said, without specifying where each well will be located.
    East Africa has become one of the world’s most active exploration areas since Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC) made the decade’s biggest gas discovery off Mozambique. The growing interest in the region was evident in the bidding war this year between Shell and Thailand’s PTT Exploration & Production Pcl (PTTEP) for Anadarko’s London-listed partner Cove Energy Plc.
    East Africa is set to become the “jewel in Afren’s exploration portfolio,” Virani said. “We have always been attracted to the geology in East Africa. The upside is very significant.”
    The five nations targeted by Afren hold an estimated 5.8 billion barrels of resources, mainly oil, according to seismic and aero-magnetic data collected by the company at a cost of $125 million, Virani said. Afren started building its East African portfolio in mid-2010, and plans to use cash from its Nigerian operations to finance work in the region, he said.
    The London-based company and its partners already began drilling the Paipai-1 well in Kenya’s Block 10A, where the U.K. explorer has a 20 percent stake. The block is operated by Tullow Oil Plc. (TLW)
    Elsewhere in Africa, Afren holds licenses in Nigeria, Ghana, the Republic of Congo and Ivory Coast, Virani said. It also has producing assets in Iraq.

    BeantwoordenVerwijderen
  35. Fitch revises Afren's outlook to stable; affirms at -B-

    Tue Nov 20, 2012 5:21am EST
    Nov 20 - Fitch Ratings has revised the Outlook on Afren plc's Long-term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to Stable from Negative and affirmed its Long-term IDR and senior unsecured rating at 'B'. The recovery rating is 'RR4'.
    The Outlook stabilisation reflects Afren's ability to demonstrate strong production growth in 9M12 after slower than expected output dynamics in 2011 and Fitch's expectations of the successful implementation of future production expansion plans. The company more than doubled its average daily oil and gas output to 40.8 kboepd YTD to 11 November 2012 (42 kboepd including an associate interest) from 19.2 kboepd (19.3 kboepd including an associate interest) in 2011 and outperformed Fitch's estimates. This step-up in production level also demonstrates a shift in the company's scale of operations putting it on par with such peers as Russia's Alliance Oil Company Ltd ('B'/Stable).
    Fitch believes that the successful development of the Nigerian Ebok field and commencement of production at the Iraqi Barda Rash field enhanced the company's operational and financial profile as it diversified its operations across three main producing assets and established a solid foundation for strong cash flow generation. It also created a track record of largely successful project implementation and provided a platform for medium-term growth. The agency believes that expansion of the cash flow generative asset base should somewhat reduce the execution risk inherent in Afren's operations and could mitigate the negative impact on its operations and financials of potential delays and/or cost overruns in project development and/or unsuccessful exploration activities.
    Fitch assesses Afren's operational profile to be commensurate with the mid-to-high 'B' rating category. The agency believes that positive rating momentum could be mounting for the company if it sustains a track record of successful expansion strategy implementation, while maintaining solid credit metrics.

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  36. 2)
    The company's ratings also take into account Fitch's expectations of stronger financial profile over 2012-15. The agency anticipates that the company will generate strong cash flow from operations and positive free cash flow (FCF) over 2012-15 driven primarily by the production expansion and sound profitability. Fitch's expectations of positive FCF generation are based on the assumption that the company will maintain a conservative dividend policy, which envisages no dividend payments. However, the agency believes that expected improvement of cash flow profile may provide an impetus for more shareholder friendly actions and/or pursuit of an ambitious acquisitive strategy.
    The agency forecasts funds from operations (FFO) adjusted leverage to decrease and stay below 2x in 2012-15. However, another measure of indebtedness - a ratio of gross adjusted debt to proved reserves - remains relatively high in comparison with other 'B'-rated oil and gas companies. Nevertheless, Fitch expects this ratio to improve in the medium-term as the company plans to transfer more reserves to the proved (1P) category. The agency also anticipates coverage ratios will remain solid.
    Although Afren is well placed in two hydrocarbons resource rich countries - Nigeria ('BB-'/Stable) and Iraq, which arguably underpins its growth potential and geographic diversification, Fitch somewhat discounts positive aspects of this exposure in its assessment of the company's business risk due to legal, political and security risks inherent in its operations in these countries. The operations in both countries are characterised by political instability and uncertainty and in some cases ambiguous legal and regulatory frameworks in the oil and gas sector. Therefore, Fitch would expect the company to demonstrate a stronger financial flexibility and larger financial cushion than its peers operating in more stable countries in order to be able to maintain its rating.
    Fitch considers Afren's liquidity as adequate.

    Its cash position of USD 448m at end-9M12 was sufficient to cover short-term debt of USD 236.8m. The company's debt repayment schedule is not onerous until 2016 when its USD500m Eurobonds fall due.

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  37. UPDATE 2-ConocoPhillips to sell Kazakh oilfield stake to India's ONGC for $5 bln

    Mon Nov 26, 2012 9:39am EST
    Nov 26 (Reuters) - ConocoPhillips said it plans to sell its 8.4 percent stake in Kazakhstan's giant Kashagan oil field to India's Oil and Natural Gas Corp Ltd for about $5 billion as the Indian company looks to make up for flagging production.
    Kashagan, the world's biggest oilfield discovery since 1968, holds an estimated 30 billion barrels of oil-in-place, of which 8-12 billion are potentially recoverable. First production from the field is expected in 2013.
    India, the world's fourth-biggest oil importer, buys nearly 80 percent of its oil needs as expanding refining capacity has outpaced local oil output. State-run ONGC's local oil output has been almost stagnant for years.
    ConocoPhillips said the carrying value of the assets related to its Kashagan interest was about $5.5 billion as of Sept. 30.
    The company said it would take an after-tax impairment of about $400 million in the fourth quarter to reduce the carrying value. The deal is expected to close in the first half of 2013.
    ONGC, India's third-biggest company by market value, has been investing to maintain output from its old fields and has capital spending plans of around 340 billion Indian rupees ($6.12 billion) both this year and next. The company is under pressure from the government to meet rising demand.
    The acquisition is the largest ever for ONGC, and marks the biggest outbound deal from India since mobile phone operator Bharti Airtel bought mobile phone operations in 15 African countries for $9 billion in 2010 from Kuwait-based telecoms group Zain.

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    Reacties
    1. Uit dit verhaal mogen we concluderen dat ca 840 miljoen barrels (recoverable) in een tamelijk moeilijk land een verkoopwaarde heeft van ca 5 miljard USD.

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  38. Afren expects record financial results
    21 January 2013 | 07:45am
    StockMarketWire.com - Afren's full year output was on target at 42,830 barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2012 and it expects record financial results.

    And it expects production this year to average between 40,000 boepd to 47,000 boepd - excluding Barda Rash.

    The group expects record financial results for 2012 with sales revenue of approximately US$1,500m forecast - up 151% on 2011.

    Chief executive Osman Shahenshah said: "2012 saw record production and financial performance combined with significant exploration success in Nigeria and the Kurdistan region of Iraq.

    "In 2013 we expect to further grow our reserves base through a multi-well exploration and appraisal drilling campaign in both established and new basins, while continuing to grow our production base.

    "We are financially well positioned with robust cash flows, a strong balance sheet and the necessary financial capacity and flexibility to optimally explore and develop our high quality portfolio of growth opportunities well into the future.

    "There is much to look forward to in 2013 and beyond."

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  39. Nomura Reaffirms Neutral Rating on Afren (AFR)
    Posted by Scotty Dyson on Jan 18th, 2013 // No Comments

    Nomura reiterated their neutral rating on shares of Afren (LON: AFR) in a research report sent to investors on Friday morning. The firm currently has a $2.80 (175 GBX) price target on the stock.
    Separately, analysts at Barclays Capital reiterated an overweight rating on shares of Afren in a research note to investors on Tuesday, January 8th. They now have a $3.38 price target on the stock.
    Shares of Afren opened at 136.32 on Friday. Afren has a 52 week low of GBX 92.85 and a 52 week high of GBX 152.97. The stock’s 50-day moving average is currently GBX 137.2. The company’s market cap is £1.481 billion.
    Afren plc (Afren) is engaged in oil and gas exploration, development and production in Africa and the Kurdistan region of Iraq.

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  40. The Week Ahead: Afren shrugs off the Nigerian oil worries
    LAURA CHESTERS MONDAY 21 JANUARY 2013

    Market Report: Shell's focus 'has switched to Afren'

    A mismanaged and corrupt Nigerian oil and gas industry doesn't sound like a great place to invest. A report last year commissioned by the country's oil minister in the wake of fuel protests found just that, and more than £20bn was lost in the country in the last decade from oil theft and gas price fixing. So not the best country to drill for oil perhaps? Afren begs to differ.
    On a quiet day for reporting in the City, investors will focus on the hunt for African oil. Mid-cap index oil explorer Afren will update on trading.
    It has been stepping up oil production offshore from Nigeria, and investors will want to know how this is going. But punters have been concerned about its operations in Kurdistan, a risky area in which to operate that has been hit by political quarrels over the export of oil. Despite this, Morgan Stanley rates the stock overweight, or buy, and earlier this month raised its target price to 220p.
    The oil sector has been the subject of bid rumours for months, with BG Group said to be a target, and some deal-hungry advisers have also mentioned Afren as a possible recipient of interest. But for now the group will be concentrating on stepping up production volumes and adding cash to its pile, which stood at more than $780m (£487m) in November.

    Results/Updates: City of London Investment Group.

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  41. Market Report: Shell's focus 'has switched to Afren'

    LAURA CHESTERS FRIDAY 02 NOVEMBER 2012

    City rumour-mongers couldn't stop shelling out gossip on Europe's largest oil producer. On Wednesday, whispers emerged that Shell could be taking a look at BG Group after its share price sunk. Then yesterday FTSE 250 Africa-focused oil and gas company Afren was said to be its target.

    Afren has already been the subject of takeover talk this year. Italy's ENI and Exxon Mobil were rumoured to be interested then. Afren's shares yesterday spurted up 5p to 142.7p.

    Royal Dutch Shell yesterday reported third-quarter profits of £4.5bn, down 6 per cent on last year. Shell said it saw a drop in oil and gas production and warned of difficult times ahead. Its shares gushed up 51p to 2,241.5p. But Investec's Stuart Joyner gave it a hold rating and a share price target of 1,936p.

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  42. Afren vandaag trading volume rond de 36 miljoen terwijl het gemiddelde 2,5 miljoen is.

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  43. Sinopec Said in Talks to Buy $1 Billion in Afren Assets
    By Zijing Wu, Fox Hu & Will Kennedy - Feb 1, 2013 5:59 PM GMT+0100

    China Petrochemical Corp. (386), the country’s largest refiner, is in talks to buy more than $1 billion of assets from Afren Plc (AFR), people with knowledge of the matter said.
    Sinopec Group, as China Petrochemical is known, is interested in Afren assets including those in Nigeria, one of the people said, asking not to be identified as the information is private. Afren, which also operates in the Kurdistan region of Iraq as well as other parts of Africa, said in November that it has been approached to sell stakes in its assets, without elaborating on the identity of the potential buyers.

    Seeking to meet demand in the world’s second-largest economy, China’s state-backed firms bought a record $29 billion of energy assets abroad last year, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Beijing-based Sinopec Group agreed to buy a 20 percent stake in an offshore Nigerian field from French explorer Total SA for about $2.5 billion in November.
    Afren rose 10.6 pence, or 7.4 percent, to close at 154 pence in London yesterday, valuing the company at 1.7 billion pounds ($2.7 billion).
    Lv Dapeng, Sinopec Group’s spokesman, did not answer calls to his office seeking comment. An Afren official declined to comment.
    Afren, based in London, had $1.8 billion of assets in Nigeria at end of 2011, and generated 92 percent of its $597 million in sales there that year, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Revenue probably more than doubled to about $1.5 billion last year after production soared to 42,830 barrels of oil equivalent a day, Afren said on Jan. 22.
    Afren expects to pump as much as 47,000 barrels a day this year, excluding Iraqi output, it said.

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  44. Afren Sees 29% Growth in Oil Reserves After Expanding in Nigeria
    By Eduard Gismatullin - Mar 25, 2013 11:34 AM GMT+0100

    Afren Plc (AFR), a U.K.-based oil and gas company focused on West Africa and Iraq, will expand reserves by 29 percent after increasing its stake in a Nigerian explorer.
    Proven and probable reserves will climb to 270 million barrels of oil equivalent from 210 million barrels, the London- based company said today in a statement. Afren agreed to pay about $37 million for 10.4 percent of First Hydrocarbon Nigeria Co., raising its stake to about 55 percent.
    Oil companies are adding reserves to gain from a four-year increase in prices. Nigeria, Africa’s biggest oil-producing nation, accounted for 92 percent of Afren’s sales in 2011, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The country provides cash to invest in other regions including East Africa and the Middle East.
    “We are currently drilling very exciting wells in Kurdistan, which are going very well,” Chief Executive Officer Osman Shahenshah said today in an interview. In Africa, the company is adding a “whole suite” of wells in Kenya, Tanzania and Madagascar, he said.
    Afren advanced as much as 3.2 percent to 152.3 pence in London trading, the highest in a month. The stock was at 152 pence as of 9:59 a.m. local time, extending its gain this year to 16 percent.
    The company also reported a 66 percent jump in 2012 net income to $202.5 million. Sales rose to a record $1.5 billion, according to a separate statement today. Its exploration program is targeting 650 million barrels of oil and gas resources this year, and output is forecast at 40,000 to 47,000 barrels a day.
    Afren began production at the Barda Rash field in Iraqi Kurdistan last year. Volumes from the deposit may enable the company to exceed its output guidance in 2013, Galib Virani, an associate director at Afren, said in January.
    The company’s other producing assets are in Nigeria and Ivory Coast. Elsewhere in Africa, it completed a seismic study in the Seychelles this quarter, the first three-dimensional survey in the archipelago, where the company may hold 2.8 billion barrels in prospective resources, it said.

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  45. Afren Reports Earnings Up 95%

    By Maynard Paton |
    March 25, 2013 |

    LONDON -- The shares of Afren (LSE: AFR ) advanced 3 pence to 150 pence during early London trade this morning after the oil company reported annual earnings up 95%.
    Afren, which has operations and investments in Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar, and the Kurdistan region of Iraq, said its normalised post-tax profits had surged from $125 million to $244 million.
    The profit advance followed production improving from 19,284 barrels of oil a day to 43,059 barrels of oil a day, an increase of 123%. The greater production helped revenues climb 151% to $1,499 million.
    Afren also revealed its net debt had decreased from $548 million to $488 million despite capital expenditure of $523 million during the year.
    A dividend was not declared.

    Osman Shahenshah, Afren's chief executive, said:
    In 2012 we achieved record financial results driven by strong production growth at our greenfield developments offshore Nigeria. We realized an E&A success ratio of 88% and a 2P reserves replacement ratio of 265%. We have started our 2013 multi-well E&A campaign with success at Okwok, offshore Nigeria, and Simrit-2 and Simrit-3, in the Kurdistan region of Iraq.
    With a track record of project delivery, exploration success and strategic acquisitions, we are well placed to continue to create significant value for shareholders.

    Looking to 2013, Mr Shahenshah reckoned production during could average between 40,000 and 47,000 barrels of oil a day, and predicted capital expenditure could rise to $620 million.
    Based on today's results, Afren's £1.6 billion market cap is equivalent to about 10 times last year's earnings. Of course, only you can decide whether that valuation and this morning's figures both combine to make Afren's shares a buy right now.
    Whatever you decide, Afren's shares have more than ten-bagged since their 2009 low and provide another example of how smart investors can make enormous sums from quality resources shares.

    If you already enjoy an Afren investment and are keen to earn wealth-changing returns from the oil sector, this free Fool report should help you on your way.

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    Reacties
    1. http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/03/25/afren-reports-earnings-up.aspx

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  46. Afren Makes New Discovery in Ebok, Okoro Fields

    04 Jun 2013
    Afren office
    Ejiofor Alike

    United Kingdom-listed, African-focused Afren Plc said it had made new oil discovery in excess of 300million barrels at Ebok and Okoro fields in Nigeria.

    This new discovery, according to the Director of Finance, Afren Nigeria, Mr. Deji West, include additional 150 million barrels of oil discovered at the Ebok oilfield located in Oil Mining Lease (OML) 67, offshore Nigeria; and 157 million barrels new finds at the Okoro field located in OML 112 in shallow water offshore Nigeria.
    Speaking during the FBN Capital Limited’s maiden oil and gas roundtable in Lagos recently, West said his company had just discovered a reserve of 150 million barrels of oil each in the Okoro and Ebok fields.
    The FBN Capital-sponsored event, which was themed ‘Raising Equity/Mezzanine Capital for Oil and Gas Companies’, was aimed at facilitating discussion between investors, influencers, and other key stakeholders within the industry on ways an indigenous exploration and production (E&P) company could raise finance and develop into a more substantial business.
    West stated that 14 and 24 wells had been drilled in Okoro and Ebok fields, respectively, adding that Okoro field was currently producing over 20,000 barrels of oil per day, with Ebok producing around 35,000 barrels per day.
    He said his company had raised $2.8bn in the past eight years from the London Stock Exchange and other sources.
    “We have raised equity and have gone back to the equity market over and over again. The first thing, you need to have strong asset base and strong technical achievements. Good corporate governance is also very critical. You can’t raise equity as a one-man business. You need a robust management team with proven track record to attract international investments,” he said.
    Also speaking at the event, the Managing Director of FBN Capital, Mr Kayode Akinkugbe, said FBN considered itself to be innovator in the financing space, adding: “If we are able to assist indigenous entities in better understanding what it takes to arrange finance from an early stage, we believe we would have added true value”.
    “We have focused on equity/mezzanine capital for the oil and gas industry because we believe there is a huge need for this type of capital,” he said.
    The Head of Origination and Client Coverage for FBN Capital, Sanmi Famuyide, who moderated the session, spoke on FBN Capital's role in making these opportunities real for indigenous companies.
    “It is important that companies are advised on how and when to efficiently utilise resources and specialists, such as lawyers and consultants, that will facilitate their success in raising equity or mezzanine capital within the oil and gas sector,” he said.
    In his presentation, Mr. Tarica Mpinga of Cannacord Genuity highlighted the stages of financing for oil and gas companies.
    Mpinga also highlighted the importance of players conservatively planning and mapping projections so that investors can clearly see and identify a trail for progress.

    “Nigeria will play a bigger role in oil and gas development for Africa,” he said.

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  47. Afren Sees Full-Year Oil Production at Upper End of Range
    By Nidaa Bakhsh - Oct 31, 2013 6:33 PM GMT+0100

    Afren Plc (AFR), a U.K. oil and gas producer in Africa and Iraq, said higher flows from Nigeria will push 2013 output toward the upper end of its forecast. Shares jumped to the most in more than two years.
    Production will approach the top of a 40,000 barrel to 47,000 barrel-a-day range, the London-based company said today in a statement. It reported an 18 percent increase in year-to-date output to 48,573 barrels of oil equivalent a day, citing growth at Nigeria’s Ebok and Okoro fields.
    Nigeria, Africa’s biggest oil-producing nation, accounts for most of Afren’s sales, providing the company with cash to invest elsewhere including in South Africa and Kurdistan.
    Afren rose 6.6 percent to 157.7 pence at the close in London trading, the highest price since July 2011. That values the company at 1.7 billion pounds ($2.7 billion).
    Ebok production averaged 35,102 barrels of oil a day in the nine months through September, a jump of 22 percent from a year earlier, while Okoro’s output rose 17 percent to average 18,214 barrels a day, Afren said. The company also said it found a “significant” light-oil accumulation at Nigeria’s Ogo-1 well.
    “There are two clear positives today: firstly that exploration is delivering and secondly that production is delivering,” Mark Wilson, an analyst at Macquarie Bank Ltd. in London, said in an e-mail. “For an exploration and production company, it’s as much as you can ask for.”

    Profit after tax totaled $128.6 million in the third quarter, a 4.7 percent increase from a year earlier, according to today’s statement.

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  48. Afren plc (AFR LN)
    Ogo drilling and resources update

    Drilling results significantly above expectations P50 gross recoverable resources estimated at
    774 mmboe (pre-drill estimate of 202 mmboe)

    London, 19 November 2013 - Afren plc ("Afren" or the "Company") and Partners Optimum Petroleum Development Ltd and Lekoil Limited announce the suspension of current drilling operations at the Ogo prospect located on the OPL 310 licence offshore Nigeria and an update on estimated gross mean recoverable resources, significantly ahead of pre-drill expectations.
    OPL 310 is located in the Upper Cretaceous fairway that runs along the West African Transform Margin. Extending from the shallow water continental shelf to deep water, the block represented a wild cat exploration opportunity in an under-explored basin. Detailed pre-drill evaluation of the block identified several prospects lying in the same Turonian, Cenomanian and Albian sandstone intervals that have yielded significant discoveries in Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire. The first exploration well drilled by the Partners was the Ogo prospect, a four-way dip-closed structure in the Turonian to Albian sandstone reservoirs, which was targeting 78 mmboe of gross P50 prospective resources. The drilling programme included a planned side-track, testing a new play of stratigraphically trapped sediments that pinch-out onto the basement high targeting 124 mmboe of gross P50 prospective resources. In total, the Partners were targeting 202 mmboe of gross P50 prospective resources.
    The Ogo-1 well was drilled to a total measured depth of 10,518 ft (10,402 ft true vertical depth subsea), and encountered a gross hydrocarbon section of 524 ft, with 216 ft of net stacked pay. The Ogo-1ST reached a total measured depth (TD) of 17,987 ft (12,050 ft true vertical depth) and encountered hydrocarbon intervals in the same Turonian, Cenomanian and Albian reservoirs that were successfully drilled and logged at the Ogo-1 well. In addition, the syn-rift section encountered a 280 ft true vertical thickness gross hydrocarbon interval.
    Based on the well data, the Partners estimate the P50 to P10 gross recoverable resources range to be significantly ahead of pre-drill expectations at 774 to 1,180 mmboe across the Ogo four-way dipped closed and syn-rift structures. Additional upside potential is expected in the syn-rift play. In addition, the latest PVT (Pressure-Volume-Temperature) analysis confirms excellent reservoir fluid properties with a 40 deg API, 600 GOR, 0.42 cp viscosity oil in the Turonian, a 39 deg API, 870 GOR, 0.40 cp viscosity oil in the Cenomanian and a condensate rich gas in the Albian of up to 115 bbls / mmscf. The partners expect the syn-rift to contain a light oil or a condensate rich gas.
    Whilst circulating bottoms up at TD, the drill string parted at 3,390 ft and during good progress towards recovery of the drill string from the well bore, the well took a hydrocarbon kick. After the kick was safely controlled, the partners considered it prudent to move to permanently secure the well. The Partners intend to drill an appraisal well in H2 2014, ahead of development planning and will also increase 3D coverage on the block, currently covering only 25 per cent. of the block, to define further prospectivity.

    Osman Shahenshah, Chief Executive of Afren, commented:
    "The Ogo and Ogo-1ST discovery continues a 100% exploration track record following discoveries at Ebok North Fault Block and the Okoro East Extension in Nigeria and the Simrit-2 and Simrit-3 exploration wells in the Kurdistan region of Iraq. Based on the well data, the Partners have identified volumes in excess of our pre-drill estimates. We look forward to further exploration results in East Africa on the El Kuran well and in Kurdistan on Maqlub-1 and the exploration tail on the BR-5".

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    Reacties
    1. De koers van Afren gaat wel iets omhoog na dit bericht, maar de extra waarde van de meevaller van ca een half miljard BOE, komt niet of nauwelijks tot uiting in de koers.

      Afren staat dus op de kooplijst van talloze analisten en brokers voor veel hogere koersen dan 160 p.

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  49. Afren Trading statement and operations update

    774 mmboe discovery on Ogo - one of the largest global discoveries in 2013; moving forward with appraisal programme
    2013 Production of 47,112 boepd, at the upper end of guidance (40,000 - 47,000 boepd)
    2013 Revenue of US$1.65 billion; Operating Cash Flow in excess of US$1.1 billion; Capex US$685 million; Net Debt US$739 million
    2014 capital allocated to highest cash return projects (US$845 million); double digit production growth to fund high impact exploration programme over the next five years

    Okoro-worker-BardaRash
    London, 28 January 2014 - Afren plc (“Afren” or the “Group”), (LSE: AFR, FTSE 250 index), issues the following trading statement and operations update, in advance of the Company’s 2013 full year results which are scheduled for release on 27 March 2014. Information contained within this release is un-audited and is subject to further review.
    Record financial results, production at the upper end of guidance and continued exploration success.

    Afren is expected to deliver record financial results for 2013, with sales revenue of circa US$1.65 billion and operating cash flow in excess of US$1.1 billion. This is driven by a year-on-year 14% increase in like-for-like net production, principally from the Ebok and Okoro fields, offshore Nigeria. Afren recorded total gross production of 59,926 boepd in 2013, with net production of 47,112 boepd. Following exploration success in Nigeria during 2012 and 2013, Afren and its partners will commence development of the Okoro Further Field Development, Ebok North Fault Block and Okwok in 2014, all of which will generate high margin cash flow for the Company. These new developments will ensure that Afren delivers double digit production growth over the next five years. Afren is expecting gross production of approximately 62,000 bopd in 2014 (approximately 40,000 bopd net to Afren), which factors in the shut-down associated with the additional platform installation on Ebok, cost recovery on Ebok, the ongoing regional developments in Kurdistan and the timing of rig arrival on OML 26 onshore Nigeria.

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  50. 2)
    Afren continued its industry-leading exploration success in 2013 with the play opening Ogo discovery at OPL 310, offshore Nigeria, with P50 gross recoverable resources of 774 mmboe. The Company will now acquire 3D seismic ahead of appraisal and further exploration drilling. OPL 310 is located in the Upper Cretaceous fairway that runs along the West African Transform Margin and Afren has similar exposure on the adjacent OML 113 block, in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana. The syn-rift play which encountered a 280 ft gross hydrocarbon column in the Ogo well also exists on OML 113 and could deliver significant upside to the Aje project, which will be tested in 2014. In addition, during 2013 the Company successfully divested its interests in Block CI-11 and the Lion Gas Plant in Côte d'Ivoire, while negotiating additional acreage in two new blocks, CI-523 and CI-525, thereby increasing its exposure to the West African Transform Margin.

    On the Ain Sifni block in Kurdistan, following the world class discovery with the Simrit-2 exploration well (1,509 feet of net oil pay and an aggregate flow rate of 19,641 bopd achieved), drilling was concluded on the Simrit-3 well, confirming the eastern extent of the Simrit anticline and achieving a cumulative test rate of 6,293 bopd. A declaration of commerciality has been submitted to the authorities and a resource upgrade is expected shortly. The Maqlub-1 exploration well, testing the high potential Maqlub structure is drilling ahead, with hydrocarbons encountered in the Cretaceous and Jurassic reservoirs. In East Africa, Afren has acquired over 11,000 km of 2D, 3,000 km2 of 3D and 19,700 km of gravity-magnetic data across the portfolio and has matured ready-to-drill prospects on the Tanga block in Tanzania and L17/18 and Block 1 in Kenya. The Company is currently participating on the El Kuran-3 well. Following hydrocarbon shows, the well has been extended to below the planned target depth to evaluate the deeper Gumboro zone.

    The balance sheet is strong, with net debt of US$739 million at the end of 2013 and the Company has successfully extended the maturity of its liabilities and lowered the cost of its debt. The capital budget for 2014 is circa US$845 million and focusses on both high cash return projects and further exploration drilling.

    Osman Shahenshah, Chief Executive of Afren plc, commented:
    “2013 has been another exceptional year for Afren, with a combination of record financial results, production ahead of guidance and industry leading exploration success. The play opening Ogo discovery in Nigeria was one of the largest global discoveries in 2013, and will be followed by further appraisal and exploration drilling. At the same time we will continue to allocate capital to the highest cash return projects. This will provide the necessary funding to continue to de-risk our material exploration opportunity set. With industry leading positions in three key global oil and gas regions, Nigeria, the Kurdistan region of Iraq and East Africa, we remain focused on maximising value for our shareholders.”

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